there is a complex debate in which republicans accuse biden of insufficient border control, especially now during the crisis in haiti. in washington , there are fears of another significant wave of migrants from haiti heading for the southern border. that's why it's the number one issue on biden's campaign agenda right now. ukraine is really important, but it's definitely not about some deep state conspiracy, it's just short-sighted. pre-election policy of the usa, which prevents the allocation of aid to ukraine. yes, mr. ambassador, well in any case, we understand that conspiracy theory is a very convenient tool for political experts and for journalists, well, in order to, so to speak, consider various additional options, problems, but in any case, now in the dry residue we have . extremely positive signals from the president of the united states, extremely positive signals from pentagon chief lloyd. austin

, there are a lot of extremely positive signals, but the issue is not resolved, and this may mean that perhaps, i do not know, this or that emissary has fulfilled his mission, and the united the states received extremely specific threats from the kremlin. we understand that the process is ongoing in europe, but this process still cannot solve all the necessary tasks facing our state, because russia is entering. into a new, additional, even more serious phase of the war. you are right, when there were threats from putin to use tactical nuclear weapons in ukraine, bill burns, head of the cia, former ambassador to russia, went to moscow and explained to president putin that if russia were to take such a step, it would have serious consequences. military consequences for russian forces. to me, that meant that if putin were to use tactical nuclear weapons, the united states would ... attack russian forces

with conventional means, but i don't know if that would be the case. this is just what reliable news sources like the washington post have been reporting. i agree with you that the signals coming from general austin or president biden about providing aid to ukraine are positive. national security adviser jake sullivan visited kyiv the other day. and just at this time secretary of state blinkin headed to egypt to try. achieve a ceasefire in israel's war against hamas. in this way , the biden administration is trying to make it clear that the united states is with ukraine. the us is sending its second-most important foreign policy official, the national security adviser, to kyiv, while the top us diplomat goes to cairo. as graham told linca while in kyiv, he is more confident than ever that a political solution will be found to help ukraine. problem. in that ukraine does not have

time to wait so, unfortunately, one of the greatest weaknesses of our american political system is that a group of extreme ideological players in one house of our parliament can block what almost everyone else wants. certainly, the majority of american citizens approve of aid to ukraine, and as far as i understand, most members of congress also give the green light to aid to ukraine. unfortunately, we have to constantly live with this problem in the united states because of ineffective governance, because of how the rules of our democratic system, but i think we're getting closer to the point where aid will be appropriated by congress and we'll see ukraine finally get more of what it needs. putin recently reappointed himself to the post of president, and we understand that he has to crown himself with, i don't know, the cap of ivan the terrible until he is completely happy. on the other hand.

we understand that in the current situation one or another so-called negotiating moment is brewing, so we understand that now russia is in this negotiating moment, if it really will be, feels much stronger than a year ago , on the other hand, certain processes are ongoing, and we have two tracks, one is the so-called geneva track, so in geneva they are trying to form a large conference that would be dedicated to the so -called peace formula, on the other hand , we understand that the russians will not be there, but there will be... the chinese as observers. in the last couple of months, liei, the special representative of china, has traveled all over the european union, meeting with all possible representatives of various authorities, and now i would like to analyze with you what he can this is the so-called geneva format and the second track, which will most likely be formed by beijing together with moscow. i don't know when the geneva peace conference will take place, but i... see the swiss government's agreement to

hold it as a positive sign, especially since russia will not be there. so that's good, and ultimately it will be a sign of support in... ukraine. in my opinion, this is such a brainstorming, aimed at finding ways to achieve peace in such a way as to allow ukraine to restore its territorial integrity. it is worth noting that even the so-called peace plan of china, which is quite blurred, regarding ukraine, actually included the idea of ​​restoring the territorial integrity of ukraine as the first item. of course, china is forced to take such a position because of problems. taiwan. if you observe china's behavior after russia's full-scale invasion of ukraine, china has not behaved as an ally of russia. instead, it acts more like a country that has an understanding with russia, having a common adversary, which is the west and the united states. xi jinping is essentially

using vladimir putin to perform dirty work, the hard work of waging war. china is trying not to provide russia with weapons. and not to violate sanctions because he is very concerned about secondary us sanctions. these are the kind of sanctions that could hit chinese banks hard if violated , for example, if chinese banks no longer have access to the us dollar, the swift system or the us financial system, xijin pin fears his own political earthquake at home. so, china's presence in geneva is not so bad in my opinion. it would be much better if china, apart from the question, did not share russia's desire to undermine the west and the united states. however, i really have high hopes for the geneva conference and am sure that there will be no serious pressure on ukraine to give up its legitimate demands, to clear its territory of all occupying

russian troops and to completely restore its territorial integrity. when we talk about the parameters of what russia considers certain for itself. achievement of goals is one point, and the second point is a matter of how one sees the victory of ukraine, our friends, jake sullivan, president biden 's national security advisor, made an extremely powerful signal a couple of days ago, that is, according to him, the victory of ukraine means the preservation of the ukrainian state, sovereign, democratic, economically independent, and so on and so forth further, the only thing that he missed is a very important point, which is the return of our... territories temporarily occupied by the russian federation, and here we come back again to what is called strategic assistance from the united states and our allies, not just help, so to speak, at the tactical level, which allows us to preserve at least what we have at the

moment. strategic assistance involves fundamentally new types of weapons in sufficient quantity to inflict an extremely painful defeat on the enemy. what i am very critical of the biden administration is that neither ninja exalivan nor president biden have ever clearly stated that we want ukraine to win. we want victory for ukraine. they always say: "we don't want ukraine to lose." but they do not say directly: "we want ukraine to win." so psychologically, in my opinion, this is too weak a position. but one of the reasons why they... don't clearly define what victory means for ukraine, or even talk about it, is that, as they often say, it's up to ukraine to decide what victory looks like, you're a democracy, therefore, this is your country, your territory, and your people, so it is up to

ukraine to decide how the war will end and what victory will mean for it. so i understand, that russia resumed its military offensive, but russia's goal all this time was to survive. i mean after... after it failed its first offensive on kyiv in february-march 2022 and after ukraine's successful counteroffensive, which pushed russian troops out of kherson in the south and kharkiv in the north. russia has had to literally dig in, dig trenches and hope, maybe even pray, that the united states and our european allies will not provide ukraine with the aid that its brave ukrainian soldiers need to win. that. happening right now this is. we're not giving you the help you need, so russia can hold back and maybe even take a few steps forward. but, as i have already said, i am more and more confident that ukraine will receive this aid, and it is important that ukraine uses it as

wisely as possible. i want to frankly share with you what i hear from the american military, who are ardent supporters of ukraine. they say that ukraine used to train very ineffectively. firing too many rounds and shells during the exercise and that it was necessary to use this assistance more economical. in addition, there were fears that part of the money received was used for its intended purpose, for example, to buy expensive cars for ukrainian officials who had access to finance, but these numbers are small. ukraine will win if we give it 60 billion dollars of aid and 40 billion dollars that the european union has promised to ukraine. for me, victory means that ukraine will push all russian troops out of its territory and fully restore its territorial integrity, but it is easy for me talk about it, sitting in the comfort of your own.

life and destruction against the territory, and only the people of ukraine and their elected leaders can decide what this compromise should look like, you mentioned istanbul and actually, i would like you now to analyze the situation with president erdogan and his potential opportunities, we understand , that president erdoğan has now managed to negotiate an unprecedented, de facto in... one or another possible american sanctions mechanism in relation to turkey with the agreement of the turkish authorities, i.e. we understand that president erdogan is a powerful player, but how powerful will he be, and if we talk and return to the so-called geneva format or the istanbul format in combination with the geneva format could give one or another fruit, do you have the feeling that putin is ready , despite all diplomatic attempts to go to... the so-called even bigger war. i think

president erdogan has proven to be a very effective negotiator. he managed to conclude the so-called green agreement with ukraine with the participation of moscow and kyiv. he wants to continue play this role. he seeks to mediate and sees turkey's foreign policy as aimed at stabilizing the region and bringing peace, prosperity and justice. this is his self-esteem. and turkey's goal. a lot of people don't agree with that, but i think that's his first priority. therefore, i believe that he will come to geneva, wanting to help conclude an agreement, if possible. on the war in the middle east, erdogan and his foreign ministers are also active behind the scenes, trying to negotiate some agreement despite the fact that erdoğan is very critical of netanyahu, behind the scenes, turkey is trying to contribute . deal to free more hostages and then be ready to intervene

if there is a ceasefire, acting as a guarantor state, is turkey's desire. so how strong is erdogan, i don't know how strong turkey is in this situation, it's not so much a matter of brute force because erdogan is not going to threaten anybody with military force or economic sanctions. no, he just proved himself to be effective mediator, and in the past both putin and zelensky said that from... putin says that russia is ready to escalate the conflict in order to force ukraine to de-escalate. this is russia's national, security and military doctrine, but i don't think that it can go far in the framework of escalation. the only major concern is the production of weapons. the russian economy is now on a war footing, it is being completely reoriented to the production of weapons. russia produces about 200,155 millimeter artillery shells per month, and when the e.u.

will increase its capacity, it will produce only 50 thousand per month. so russia can produce a lot of weapons, but in the long run, such spending will simply bury its economy. yes , the russian economy didn't collapse, but that's only because so much of russia's national wealth is now invested in military production, which means that the goods that are... destroyed don't contribute to economic growth, so putin's long-term spending on this war will huge, and if it escalates, the costs will be even greater. he wants to stay in power for another 12 years and i don't see how he is going to survive if he escalates this war. well, in any case, we see a readiness on the part of the kremlin elites to continue the escalation. we see that the russian economy has not collapsed in the next couple of years. it was rebuilt, they are now, i think, at the end of the late middle ages, yes, but they are ready

to smear their country with war, that is, there is no question of preserving these or other things, no, and here is the key story with this moment in mind , as if to us it was right to follow your vision and your advice to the leadership of our country in order to activate certain additional mechanisms. should we now deepen, i don't know, military and economic cooperation with great britain, or with the european union, in particular with france, germany and poland within the weimar triangle, or vice versa? that we should now intensify our cooperation with the possible next president of the united states , donald trump, so we understand that now we should already be developing an additional new strategy relations and specific tactics, to propose and develop, of course, the ideal formula is to cooperate with everyone. i think that ukraine

needs the deepest possible cooperation with all its friends, unprecedentedly deep. labor, i was at a conference where a german government official spoke, and he mentioned that if, say, in the fall of 2021, someone said that the european union would invest its own funds to help ukraine buy weapons, people would think that he out of my mind but that's what happens now, so i believe that senator graham actually gave ukraine two pieces of advice: to produce as many weapons as possible, as quickly as possible, and to recruit more... ukrainian citizens into the army, he insisted on lowering the draft age from 27 to 25. i know that this is very difficult to do in ukraine from a political point of view, but it seems that this is a very necessary step. in addition, i believe that it would be useful if ukraine emphasized more to its friends around the world that it has significantly increased its ability to produce weapons at home. as much as i

understood from an article i read in the atlantic council a few days ago. ukraine is now able to produce artillery shells and other weapons worth 18 billion dollars a month. however, the state budget of ukraine has only 9 or 8 billion dollars for the purchase of equipment and weapons that ukraine can produce independently. therefore , i believe that ukraine should ask for help not only in the form of weapons, but also in the form of financial support, which will allow you to produce more and prepare for the long term. deterring russia in the future. how should we work with donald trump's potential new team? so there were rumors that, for example, donald trump met with elon musk and so on and so forth. we understand that there are issues of teams that may neglect, at least in the non-public sphere, what is called the ethics of international cooperation. yes, we are starting to live in a new

time, right? well, accordingly, it is not known what can happen additionally in the united states, but donald. trump makes extremely contradictory signals, but we can see that he is not losing, so we want to wish the team joseph biden, i don’t know, victory, successful development and so on and so on, but we see that trump’s team is recruiting, and accordingly, what should we prepare for under those conditions, if six months from now in the united states can to have its own political revolution, we understand that... when we talk about isolationism, we are not talking about political or political categories, we are talking about very specific things, in particular about military and financial aid, which may not arrive, but maybe on the contrary, well, when donald trump talks about the fact that he has a script, he has a vision, yes, so what could it be if he was ready

to act sharply or not sharply, for example, communicating with the aggressor state, russia? no one knows this, trump has no such plan. trump, as he is in all his glory. this is an absolutely narcissistic and self-confident person. he looks to me like a stronger political candidate right now, but biden is gaining momentum and trying to counter anxieties among democratic voters , and among all voters, that that it is outdated. and he copes with this task quite well. trump faces a variety of difficulties. against him some of the cases may actually be related to various criminal cases to help him win voters' votes or get them to come to the polls instead of staying home because they believe that donald trump is being persecuted by the us judicial system. but certain other cases, such as the one alleging he essentially instigated the jan. 6 mutiny in congress, will cost him votes. so

it's still too early to talk about it, but even if i knew donald trump would be elected president. i wouldn't be able to predict anything concrete anyway. i have no idea what his approach to ukraine will be. on the one hand, he said he would end the war in one day if he became president. obviously, this would mean that he would somehow insist on a ceasefire, which might not be in ukraine's favor. that's probably what he meant, though he didn't specify, so that's a bad thing. but the good thing is that he is the first us president to provide lethal aid to ukraine in the form this is something that president barack obama could never or would not give to ukraine, and now president trump is not saying that he does not want to help ukraine, he is saying that ... he does not want to help ukraine for free, the point is that if ukraine will get something from the united states and from donald trump, then the united states and donald trump must

get something from ukraine. so let's talk not about a gift, but about a loan that ukraine may or may not have to repay. that's trump's approach so far. what it all boils down to is that i'm not i am very concerned about donald trump's approach to ukraine if he is re-elected president, but i am deeply concerned about his approach. about nato, because he used to speak about the alliance as a relic of the past, and a few weeks ago, we all heard another delusion from his mouth, namely that any nato member country that does not invest 2% of its gdp in defense, which is the purpose of nato, effectively allows putin to do whatever he wants with it, because the us is not going to defend such countries. in my opinion, this is a heresy, it is a heresy of the geopolitical side. no leader be i... therefore, trump is very unpredictable, absolutely

conjunctural, unstrategic and selfish, and yet he has not yet said that all aid to ukraine should be stopped, and thank god. thank you very much, mr. ambassador, for this brilliant analysis on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our tv viewers what is working for them now. of the united states, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council. america, glory to ukraine. events, events that are happening right now and affect our lives. of course, the news story reports about them, but it was not enough to know what was happening. aim antin borkovskii and invited experts soberly assess the events, analyze them, modeling our future. every saturday at 1:10 p.m., with a repeat on sunday at 10:10 a.m. studio zahid with

anton borkovsky at espresso. andriy piontkovskyi, a famous political expert who is in washington, will now be on the air of the tv channel. glory to ukraine, andriy andriyovych. congratulations. well, it is an extremely difficult situation in which we are, that is, on the one hand, we hear that the european the union seems to be taking a second breath when we talk about the supply of ammunition and so on, on the other hand we understand that the united states is going on a break again, american congressmen will be on vacation again for two weeks. yesterday at the meeting in ramstein, or the day before yesterday, there was an unprecedented statement by the minister of defense. usa, in fact, he called the behavior of the american side in relation to ukraine shameful. he said indignantly that aid to ukraine has not yet been approved, that it is a matter of

honor and security for the united states. it shows drama the struggle that is taking place in the usa on this matter. indeed, for six months , the draft law on providing military aid to ukraine for 64 has been thrashing in congress. in particular, i want to say about two visits to kyiv. tuesday was the so-called friend of ukraine lynsey graham. senator, republican. he came to kyiv already at ten. he was always considered a friend of ukraine and said some nonsense, that he spoke with trump, that trump said that there is no need to pass a law on aid to ukraine. he told the ukrainian audience that trump cares about ukraine, what he thinks about ukraine. proposes a new law that ukraine. will receive money only as a loan, which, i’m sorry, it doesn’t matter to us whether it’s debt or something else, we need weapons, debt

is not scary, because if there were weapons that are necessary for victory, after victory, grateful humanity will pay ukraine’s debts dozens of times, not in this thing, all these maneuvers of trump in order to prolong the situation, the republicans lied for six months that they were in favor of helping ukraine, but... a border law is needed. when the border bill was agreed upon, trump ordered loyal republicans to block him. now there is new chatter about giving a loan, and congress is on vacation again for two weeks, the issue is postponed for another two months. probably, the americans have already understood, biden understood the disgrace of this situation. yesterday was an unexpected visit of salvan to kyiv. salvan, as we know, is not ukraine's greatest friend, he is a person who has always advocated for ukraine not to be defeated. he never spoke about the victory of ukraine. it seems that biden sent him to convince the ukrainians

which is now full. unity, american administration. yesterday, sullivan uttered the words "pemoga ukraine" with his mouth for the first time. he said that ukraine can win, and america will fully support it. and he also said other important words, because this is not only a question of the security of ukraine, but also a question of the security of the united states. these are all good words, but action is needed. sullivan said at the press conference that he understands that ukraine is outraged by the five-month term. delaying this draft law. he said, we will do everything, and help will be provided, and once again emphasized, this is our issue own safety. it remains to be seen how this will be resolved, but it seems like such decisive action, the attempt by biden was prompted by the position of europe. macron proposes the so-called macron doctrine. this is not just a throw-in at

a press conference. he develops the concept that we have to defeat russia. he uses the word defeat for russia for the first time. he states that on the eve of the possible victory of trump, who will simply stop helping ukraine, which is an enemy of nato. europe will be defenseless. we wasted 30 years talking about the european army. and in us now there is only one european army, it is the army of ukraine. which is fighting and restraining all this eastern horde, which is ready to go to europe, and we must strengthen this european army by all means, up to the participation of our own armed forces. we understand very well, zelenskyi said this a few days ago at a press conference, that neither france nor europe currently has ready-made infantry divisions that could take a place on the front line.

i agree with you, they have something that they can supply, but drawing certain historical parallels, we can recall for example, marshal pilsutskyi, who apologized to the interned ukrainian military after bolshevik interventionists occupied, so to speak, a large part of ukraine. yes, he said, "well, i'm very sorry, forgive me." well, that's what he said. then there was the story with prime minister winston churchill. at one time, churchill agreed to the stalinist plan, which involved the occupation, partition and introduction of an occupying bolshevik administration in poland. cherchel was ashamed, so to speak, but he could not do anything. there is a feeling

yes. you say that such things do not just happen, because it is not just self-preservation, they realized that they are exposed. europe remains completely defenseless against putin. and if trump withdraws not only the protection of ukraine, but withdraws the protection of europe, they realized that they have no protection. once again, macron's thesis is important that... the only european army now, the one fighting in ukraine, needs to be strengthened with weapons, and his formulation of no red lines is very important, i do not exclude anything, including sending french soldiers and soldiers of other countries. and it is very important for macron that he emphasized: our servicemen are already participating in the war in ukraine. he emphasized that british and french specialists service

the systems. first of all, on the issue related to airplanes, they say, look, there are no political obstacles to the supply of airplanes, the americans have removed them, and there are no economic issues, there are issues of logistics. the fact is that the victory of ukraine can be ensured by an operation in crimea, expulsion, use weak location of the russian military vehicle in crimea. even now, without fleet aviation , ukraine threw the black sea fleet out of crimea. but success requires not dozens, but two hundred planes. no, you cannot train ukrainian pilots for two hundred planes. it's not about one pilot. for every pilot there are five more service people, including airfields.