it is super tuesday. donald trump hoping to clinch his party's nomination with a clean sweep of 15 states. but what of nikki haley? is this her last stand or is there a plan b? we have got expert analysis tonight from all sides. with us this hour, the entrepreneur and former white house communications director anthony scaramucci. also tonight, the war in gaza. ceasefire negotiations came to a close in cairo today, without a breakthrough, what does president biden do about that. and "man up" - the allies must be braver says the french president, in their efforts to resupply ukraine. good evening. the polls are open in 15 states. it is super tuesday a day

in the primary calendar that in previous cycles has given us a clear indication of which candidates will win their parties�* presidential nomination. but this year, there is far less suspense. both parties have already steered us to who their nominees will be, as biden and trump cruised through the early voting states. the republican presidential candidate nikki haley is still in the race, for now, but the expectations are low. these are the states voting today. the us territory of american samoa, also staging a democratic caucus, tuesday is also the last day for democrats in iowa to mail in their primary ballots. almost a third of the delegates will be up for grabs on super tuesday. on the republican side of the ledger, the winning candidate needs 1,215 delegates to capture the nomination. a clean sweep today would put donald trump within touching distance of the nomination. and if the polling is right, then the 2024 election will be the contest 70%

of the country didn't want. biden versus trump, the rematch. cricket joe will not succeed with these _ cricket joe will not succeed with these plans— cricket joe will not succeed with these plans and _ cricket joe will not succeed with these plans and he _ cricket joe will not succeed with these plans and he will- cricket joe will not succeed with these plans and he will not - cricket joe will not succeed with these plans and he will not getl cricket joe will not succeed with - these plans and he will not get away with these _ these plans and he will not get away with these crimes. _ these plans and he will not get away with these crimes. and _ these plans and he will not get away with these crimes. and they- these plans and he will not get away with these crimes. and they are - with these crimes. and they are crimes — with these crimes. and they are crimes he _ with these crimes. and they are crimes. he will— with these crimes. and they are crimes. he will be _ with these crimes. and they are crimes. he will be tried - with these crimes. and they are crimes. he will be tried at - with these crimes. and they are crimes. he will be tried at the l crimes. he will be tried at the ballot — crimes. he will be tried at the ballot box _ crimes. he will be tried at the ballot box this _ crimes. he will be tried at the ballot box this november- crimes. he will be tried at the ballot box this november and| crimes. he will be tried at the . ballot box this november and he crimes. he will be tried at the - ballot box this november and he will be judged _ ballot box this november and he will be judged and — ballot box this november and he will be judged and convicted _ ballot box this november and he will be judged and convicted by- ballot box this november and he will be judged and convicted by the - be judged and convicted by the american — be judged and convicted by the american people. _ anthony scaramucci is with us, he's a former director of commucations to president trump at the white house. if the results are baked into nights, what will you be looking for in the results?— in the results? well, i think the number one _ in the results? well, i think the number one piece _ in the results? well, i think the number one piece of— in the results? well, i think the number one piece of the - in the results? well, i think the| number one piece of the results in the results? well, i think the - number one piece of the results that i'm most interested in is the exit polling related to the nikki haley voters. when they are asked upon departure from the polling, "will you vote for donald trump in november" now, he is not doing well

in that category. the blended average of the last five or six primaries is about 40% of those people have said "no" so the secondary question has to be to the trump campaign, how do you reconnect those people, because you need the crossover votes to win the election. of course, bernie sanders voters didn't vote for secretary clinton by and large they didn't, but the secretary clinton voters did vote for barak obama. so mr trump will need those votes to win in november and a lot of people say no, never vote for them under any circumstance.— vote for them under any circumstance. . , ., circumstance. nikki haley has not siunalled circumstance. nikki haley has not signalled at _ circumstance. nikki haley has not signalled at this _ circumstance. nikki haley has not signalled at this point _ circumstance. nikki haley has not signalled at this point past - circumstance. nikki haley has not signalled at this point past what l signalled at this point past what she will do on super tuesday. does it matter what she does next? i think it does, because if she stays in the race as a never trumped, or somebody that is convincing her constituents not to vote for trump, and is a big impediment to him winning. remember, he can't win the

popular vote in the united states and the demography of the united states has changed since 2016 and even 2020. so his only path to the presidency is through the swing states and if governor haley or ambassador haley can convince those people to stay away from him, joe biden will easily win the election. if you were to say to people after january six that this is where we would be in super tuesday 2024, i'm not sure they would have believed you. what is it that has galvanised donald trump support?— you. what is it that has galvanised donald trump support? well, let's talk about the _ donald trump support? well, let's talk about the cowardice _ donald trump support? well, let's talk about the cowardice of - donald trump support? well, let's talk about the cowardice of the - talk about the cowardice of the republican party first. i think this is important, because you are right, they would've never believed you. kevin mccarthy could have pushed him right through the ropes, lights out, with the help of nancy pelosi and mitch mcconnell. they could have impeached him on the 7th ofjanuary, he would never see or hear from donald trump again, and then the republican party could have healed. and so since that did not happen

some of the number one thing is republican party principal cowardice, and that secondary thing is whether we like this are not, he is whether we like this are not, he is a very ardent group of people, very similar to the people that voted for braggs it in the united kingdom back injune of 2016, they reject globalism. and they don't feel like the system has been fair to them or their families. feel like the system has been fair to them or theirfamilies. —— voted for brexit. he is an avatar for their anger, and this is why he is able to have four big criminal cases against him. 91 indictments, and he keeps pushing through in these primaries. but look at the data. the base itself has actually shrunk. her and parties registrations are down. the highest registering group is the independents now at 42%. and frankly, mrtrump independents now at 42%. and frankly, mr trump doesn't do well with them, specifically suburban women. they don't like mr trump. the big question for him to make it one

of yourjournalists to ask him or his team, how are you going to reconnect this party after winning all of these primaries? taste reconnect this party after winning all of these primaries?— all of these primaries? we will ma be all of these primaries? we will maybe talk _ all of these primaries? we will maybe talk about _ all of these primaries? we will maybe talk about ukraine - all of these primaries? we will maybe talk about ukraine in i all of these primaries? we will. maybe talk about ukraine in this setting a little later, but i think what surprises a lot of people on this site is how far the republican party has moved. it's no longer the party has moved. it's no longer the party of reagan or the bushs. part?t party of reagan or the bushs. party of russia. it's _ party of reagan or the bushs. party of russia. it's the _ party of reagan or the bushs. party of russia. it's the party _ party of reagan or the bushs. party of russia. it's the party of - party of reagan or the bushs. i—l of russia. it's the party of russia. yeah, yeah, it is certainly the party of donald trump on foreign policy, on fiscal responsibility, on law and order, and family values, you name it. it's a cult of personality it seems to me. yes, and he has co-opted _ personality it seems to me. yes, and he has co-opted them. _ personality it seems to me. yes, and he has co-opted them. and - personality it seems to me. yes, and he has co-opted them. and that - personality it seems to me. yes, and he has co-opted them. and that is i he has co—opted them. and that is one of the more fascinating things. there were hosts that people still to this day that will speak publicly in support of mr trump because they are in politics, but privately they will explain to how much they dislike him. so those are members of the currently, members of the senate that are republicans. i think it's getting tiresome, that the rhetoric,

that sort of bait and switch rhetoric, and listen, you can see it in the fundraising data, mr trump is underperforming relative to president biden. the rnc is underperforming. they are spending more than they are taking in, and of course, theyjust lost their chairwoman. some of that is related to it, but what it is really related to it, but what it is really related to is that it is a big turn—off to well—heeled investors and long—standing politicalfundraisers. long—standing political fundraisers. they don't long—standing politicalfundraisers. they don't want to be affiliated with mr trump, and you can really feel it and paris as it relates to the campaign right now.- feel it and paris as it relates to the campaign right now. that's a really important _ the campaign right now. that's a really important issue _ the campaign right now. that's a really important issue that - the campaign right now. that's a really important issue that we i really important issue that we always forget on this side. you are the money man. you are there in new york city. it's where... he the money man. you are there in new york city. it's where. . ._ york city. it's where... he is burning _ york city. it's where... he is burning more _ york city. it's where... he is burning more dough - york city. it's where... he is burning more dough than i york city. it's where... he is burning more dough than hej york city. it's where... he is l burning more dough than he is york city. it's where... he: 3 burning more dough than he is taking in right now. and by the way coming south carolina last week, he had a few big former gop fundraisers our current gop fundraisers behind him. he's trying to signal people that he

can put the deadwood together, but the truth be told, the dough is not coming. he is the presumptive nominee. and typically when that happens there is a lot of money that hits the campaign. that hasn't happened for mr trump because he is frankly a big turn—off. happened for mr trump because he is frankly a big turn-off.— frankly a big turn-off. that's why he wants nikki _ frankly a big turn-off. that's why he wants nikki haley _ frankly a big turn-off. that's why he wants nikki haley out - frankly a big turn-off. that's why he wants nikki haley out of - frankly a big turn-off. that's why he wants nikki haley out of the l he wants nikki haley out of the race, hoping to turn the stick it on. in terms of what he owes, it's about half $1 billion in new york alone right now. maybe we should just have a quick look at the court cases and how that might affect the vote. the court cases come in, we've got the hush money case of march 25. stormy daniels case, which not a lot of people take very seriously. the supreme court arguments on immunity april the 22nd. i don't know if we have a graphic on this, if we do, can we put it on screen? we don't. 0k. classified documents, special counsel case that has been postponed to july, counsel case that has been postponed tojuly, might not even come until august. the georgia election case also scheduled for august. we look

at them on screen now we have found it. you know, it's very difficult to hypothesise when there is so much thatis hypothesise when there is so much that is unknown, anthony. the contest as we are calling it today, biden versus trump, do you think with all of this in mind, by the time we get to november, the polls and the contest will look the same? well, i will say something contrary and on yourair, well, i will say something contrary and on your air, if you have an april immunity hearing, jack smith is not a dummy. he is that case for eight because he believes a decision will be rendered by the supreme court sometime injune will stop and thatis court sometime injune will stop and that is classically the case. most of the big court decisions for the supreme court come out injune. so he is looking at the tea leaf and saying there is no way they're going to give donald trump or any president complete immunity. he gets immunity for thejob, you get immunity for the job, you get immunity for the job, you get

immunity for the job, you get immunity for thejob, you get immunity for the office, but you cannot perpetrate crimes like assassinate your political opponents or insert wrecked the capital. it don't think you are allowed to do that. that is outside the purview of your office. i think you have a situation here where the court rules possibly against trump, they ruled with him on the colorado ballot case, but they could rule against him here, and this is a big dramatic set up going into the convention. remember, they've got him on tape premeditated lee pushing the insurrection. they also have mark meadows, who is the chief witness for the prosecution, this is not a sorrow sponsor da and all of that other talking point nonsense, this is a white christian who is the former leader of the freedom caucus in the house of representatives that was trump's last white house chief of staff is the chief witness for the prosecution. so this could be a

bombshell event, something that knocks the current trajectory of trump versus biden off course. i'm not saying that will happen. it will probably be very likely that we will have to beat mr trump at the ballot box. you can't rule out potential drama coming as a result of these court cases. in drama coming as a result of these court cam-— court cases. in terms of the new york case. _ court cases. in terms of the new york case. in _ court cases. in terms of the new york case. in a — court cases. in terms of the new york case, in a court _ court cases. in terms of the new york case, in a court of- court cases. in terms of the new york case, in a court of public. york case, in a court of public opinion can ijust wonder and i don't need to be vulgar about this, when testimony is heard next month that he was sleeping with an adult film star while his wife was pregnant and to get around that, he had michael: pay money, and this is where the money came from. those sorts of details in the public domain surely has an impact on independent voters. it domain surely has an impact on independent voters.— domain surely has an impact on independent voters. it does. if you look at the — independent voters. it does. if you look at the data, _ independent voters. it does. if you look at the data, it _ independent voters. it does. if you look at the data, it specifically, - look at the data, it specifically, suburban housewives, when they are pulled, it is a super big turn—off. you may have a base that still

listens to donald trump, i think we've more or less proved that over the last seven years, but those sordid details coming out in the press i think will hurt him. some people say, welcome of these court cases in new york, they shouldn't be taking that seriously. listen to me you mention michael keohane, he went to jailfor that, you mention michael keohane, he went to jailforthat, it you mention michael keohane, he went to jailfor that, it will you mention michael keohane, he went to jail for that, it will be interesting to see what happens to mr trump. interesting to see what happens to mrtrump. —— michael cohen. interesting to see what happens to mr trump. —— michael cohen. they've got all the smoking gun evidence there, and so if he is guilty, they put the former president in jail, i guess they won't, but he will have a conviction match against him going into the general election, and what we know from polls, maybe not his ardent pace, but if you ask other people, if he is convicted and some of these court cases, does that turn you off to voting for him? there is enough people that say yes to that question, which were opportunity to return return to the presidency.

0k, anthony is staying with us. on the other side of the break, we will talkjoe biden, there is a five alarm fire, how did they turn around the president's sagging number is? you are watching bbc news. for our uk beer is still with us, let's take a look at some other stories making headlines today. birmingham city councillors have appraised a series of cuts to local services. a20 1% rise have appraised a series of cuts to local services. a201% rise in the council tax over the next two years. they need to make £300 million in his savings. let's bring in our political correspondent, that is an extraordinary amount of money that ordinary council taxpayers are going to have to find over the next two years it took five hours to agree this budget, which is why the acknowledgement to affect the whole community, cuts to parks, leisure, council tax going up. a lot of blame during around who is at fault here. conservatives say the labour

administration for mistakes about equal pay. labours say the government has underfunded local government has underfunded local government for too long. birmingham the latest counsel to declare bankruptcy, but there are warnings across the board about financial pressures in the sector. we will come back to that story later in the programme. thank you for now. welcome back. four polls out this weekend, all of them spelling bad news for president biden. the new york times/siena college poll had the president four points behind his likely republican opponent, donald trump, in a hypothetical matchup. not hypothetical for too much longer, perhaps. an additional three major surveys also showedtrump leading amid broad and deep dissatisfaction with the incumbent. anthony scaramucci is with us, also joining from washington our very own katty kay. nice to see you. if you both each other very so this should go swimmingly. let's talk aboutjoe biden, because we talked a lot on

donald trump, katty. those are bad numbers for an incumbent. and the one thing he cannot fix, which shows up one thing he cannot fix, which shows up in all of these polls is the age problem. up in all of these polls is the age roblem. ., up in all of these polls is the age roblem. . �* , up in all of these polls is the age roblem. . 2 ., ~ �*, problem. yeah, he's old. and he's auoin to problem. yeah, he's old. and he's going to have _ problem. yeah, he's old. and he's going to have to — problem. yeah, he's old. and he's going to have to address - problem. yeah, he's old. and he's going to have to address that - going to have to address that somehow in a way that is more effective than he has been addressing it now. the people around the campaign are saying they are going to get him out more. they are going to get him out more. they are going to get him out more. they are going to have more video appearances. they are trying to kind of make fun of the age staying saying, you know, i'm older than the phonograph. i'm older than christian frazier and the context. it may be that will help, you know, maybe that is going to do something. at the truth isjoe biden is old. and what they are trying to do is get surrogates out there saying, yeah, he is old, but the other guy is crazy. and that is your choice. in the white house and the biden campaign say that they are excited about this day because finally they feel this is it, this is the contest, mono e mono will stop its

biden against trump. and this is their chance to show, do voters want him in the white house for four more years? you look at their twitter feed, if anyone still looks at twitter any more, the biden— harris campaign twitterfeed is twitter any more, the biden— harris campaign twitter feed is all about gaffes that donald trump has made, things they think donald trump has said that will put off suburban women voters. they are going hard against donald trump, having resisted doing so in the early months of the campaign, they are now firmly taking on donald trump, and i think that is going to work to their benefit and perhaps mitigate some of that dismay that voters feel about his age. mil that dismay that voters feel about his are.�* ,., that dismay that voters feel about hisaae.�* ,., , his age. all sorts of comments ieces his age. all sorts of comments pieces on _ his age. all sorts of comments pieces on the _ his age. all sorts of comments pieces on the left _ his age. all sorts of comments pieces on the left from - his age. all sorts of comments - pieces on the left from democratic writers about whether he is the right candidate, whether he should... from ezra klein, who is listen to by people within the democratic caucus, and hejust thinks it is time forjoe biden to

call it a day. thinks it is time forjoe biden to call it a day-— thinks it is time forjoe biden to call it a day. yeah, a whole bunch of top commentators _ call it a day. yeah, a whole bunch of top commentators who - call it a day. yeah, a whole bunch of top commentators who have i call it a day. yeah, a whole bunch i of top commentators who have come out and said thatjoe biden shouldn't be running for a second time. the problem is who else is it's going to be? in a way, that ship has sailed. look at nikki haley. i don't know if anthony agrees that this, look at nikki haley, she is a much better candidate now after several months of primaries. she's kind of toned her political muscles, if you like, or campaigning muscles. if they were suddenly... 0fjoe biden was to turn around and say, you know what, i'm not running, it's a little late for all of the other democrats to now get into the ring and tonsil it out amongst each other and become supreme political athletes. maybe they could just do it, but there's a reason you have these primary campaigns. they make candidates better. they have made nikki haley a stronger republican candidate, and i think without that, it is a bit late for democrats to be saying we wish this wasn't so. anyway, joe biden is

not going anywhere. it would take his wife to say you have to not run, and his wife, from everything i hear, is fully committed to a second term. 50 hear, is fully committed to a second term. , ., hear, is fully committed to a second term, , ., , term. so there is no smoke-filled room, term. so there is no smoke-filled room. there _ term. so there is no smoke-filled room, there is _ term. so there is no smoke-filled room, there is no _ term. so there is no smoke-filled room, there is no convention - term. so there is no smoke-filled room, there is no convention that you can see on the horizon where the activists and the donors may get together and say, look, there must be a non—80 —year—old nonincumbent governor who could do this in his place? i governor who could do this in his lace? ~ ., governor who could do this in his lace? ~' ., ., ,, place? i think that has happened. i think there — place? i think that has happened. i think there have _ place? i think that has happened. i think there have been _ place? i think that has happened. i | think there have been smoke-filled think there have been smoke—filled rooms— think there have been smoke—filled rooms and — think there have been smoke—filled rooms and i think people have talked to the _ rooms and i think people have talked to the administration about that idea, _ to the administration about that idea, and — to the administration about that idea, and i think they have been stiff armed on that idea, and i think— stiff armed on that idea, and i think you've got 5% probability that he drops _ think you've got 5% probability that he drops out. adjust apply historical context, march is a good time _ historical context, march is a good time for— historical context, march is a good time for that. lyndonjohnson drapped — time for that. lyndonjohnson dropped out in of 1968, but remember, what katty is saying is so true, _ remember, what katty is saying is so true, you _ remember, what katty is saying is so true, you had — remember, what katty is saying is so true, you had three or four candidates already in the 68 race and they— candidates already in the 68 race and they were running against a lyndon — and they were running against a lyndonjohnson and they and they were running against a lyndon johnson and they were challenging the incumbent. that is not the _ challenging the incumbent. that is not the case here. and so i think it is going _ not the case here. and so i think it

is going to — not the case here. and so i think it is going to be a biden— trump match up. is going to be a biden— trump match up~ and _ is going to be a biden— trump match up~ and it— is going to be a biden— trump match up~ and it is— is going to be a biden— trump match up. and it is sort of weekend at bernie's— up. and it is sort of weekend at bernie's versus one flew over the cuckoos — bernie's versus one flew over the cuckoos nest. i'm going with weekend at bernie's _ cuckoos nest. i'm going with weekend at bernie's i— cuckoos nest. i'm going with weekend at bernie's. i would rather take elderly— at bernie's. i would rather take elderly and sometimes forget fault than fallen crazy.— elderly and sometimes forget fault than fallen crazy. there is no doubt that joe than fallen crazy. there is no doubt that joe biden _ than fallen crazy. there is no doubt that joe biden has _ than fallen crazy. there is no doubt that joe biden has done _ than fallen crazy. there is no doubt that joe biden has done the - than fallen crazy. there is no doubt that joe biden has done the hard i thatjoe biden has done the hard yards. he spent around the block about, i don't know how many times, but what does he have to do over the next eight months, katty, to change the dynamic? he next eight months, katty, to change the dynamic?— the dynamic? he has got to do a coule of the dynamic? he has got to do a couple of things. _ the dynamic? he has got to do a couple of things. he _ the dynamic? he has got to do a couple of things. he scheduled l the dynamic? he has got to do a i couple of things. he scheduled that the economic numbers keep improving, that inflation doesn't take a back up that inflation doesn't take a back up again, which has shown some worrying signs of doing. heat would love for the federal reserve to bring down interest rates. that would make people feel a little bit better about the economy. and then he has to drive very clear distinctions between him and donald trump. he is going to try and go at donald trump. i think that is what we hearfrom donald trump. i think that is what we hear from the white house team. __ go we hear from the white house team. —— go wouldn't donald trump. they are going to try to use videos to goad donald trump into saying things that they know suburban women voters

won't like. can they hold onto those suburban women voters. if donald trump start saying things as he has been saying about immigration, about women, in the stormy daniels campaign, i don't know very many women who love the idea of there has been having an affair while they are pregnant. that is the kind of thing i suspect we will be hearing a lot about from the biden campaign. they're going to draw those distinctions and get donald trump to say the kinds of things that make donald trump more unpopular with suburban voters. when i speak to the donald trump campaign and ask what they are worried about, without thinking, they say trump himself because they know that, yes, he draws people to the calls, but he can also be a liability. you talked, anthon , can also be a liability. you talked, anthony. and _ can also be a liability. you talked, anthony, and the _ can also be a liability. you talked, anthony, and the first _ can also be a liability. you talked, anthony, and the first quarter - can also be a liability. you talked, l anthony, and the first quarter about the problem thatjoe biden has with independence and suburban women. what aboutjoe biden's coalition, it is a broad coalition, obviously he benefited greatly in 2020 from the african—american vote, but some

polls suggest maybe 20% of them could go over to the republican side. that would be a major problem, would it not, forjoe biden's team? it would be but i would caution people — it would be but i would caution people in— it would be but i would caution people in terms of taking these polls— people in terms of taking these polls that seriously at this time because — polls that seriously at this time because i— polls that seriously at this time because i can show you polls from march _ because i can show you polls from march of _ because i can show you polls from march of 1998 of ten versus george bush _ march of 1998 of ten versus george bush. coming out of the conventions late july— bush. coming out of the conventions late july 1998, bush. coming out of the conventions latejuly1998, michael bush. coming out of the conventions late july 1998, michael up 20, bush. coming out of the conventions latejuly1998, michael up 20, lost the election, so what ends up happening in the beginning, it is sort of— happening in the beginning, it is sort of the — happening in the beginning, it is sort of the flavour of the month and it is the _ sort of the flavour of the month and it is the momentum. mr trump is and then 90s, _ it is the momentum. mr trump is and then 90s, mr— it is the momentum. mr trump is and then 90s, mrtrump it is the momentum. mr trump is and then 90s, mr trump is winning primaries _ then 90s, mr trump is winning primaries. do you think mr trump is going _ primaries. do you think mr trump is going to _ primaries. do you think mr trump is going to win? will you vote for him because _ going to win? will you vote for him because maggots are more emotionally question— because maggots are more emotionally question right now. what katty said is true _ question right now. what katty said is true. let's watch the replay and the highlight video of all of mr trump's — the highlight video of all of mr trump's behaviour and the way he handled _ trump's behaviour and the way he handled the american presidency and remember, _ handled the american presidency and remember, covid or not, we lost 21

million _ remember, covid or not, we lost 21 millionjobs — remember, covid or not, we lost 21 millionjobs on mr remember, covid or not, we lost 21 million jobs on mr trump's watch. remember, covid or not, we lost 21 millionjobs on mr trump's watch. he is the _ millionjobs on mr trump's watch. he is the worst— millionjobs on mr trump's watch. he is the worst republican candidate since _ is the worst republican candidate since herbert hoover. he lost the incumbency of the presidency, he lost the _ incumbency of the presidency, he lost the house and the senate and he has yet _ lost the house and the senate and he has yet to _ lost the house and the senate and he has yet to win a popular vote and he won't _ has yet to win a popular vote and he won't win— has yet to win a popular vote and he won't win the popular vote this time — won't win the popular vote this time. there is a lot of compelling evidence — time. there is a lot of compelling evidence against him that hasn't really— evidence against him that hasn't really been displayed to the public yet, really been displayed to the public yet. and _ really been displayed to the public yet, and once that starts to happen, those _ yet, and once that starts to happen, those numbers will get knocked around — those numbers will get knocked around a — those numbers will get knocked around a lot. i�*m those numbers will get knocked around a lot.— those numbers will get knocked around a lot. �* ., , , ., around a lot. i'm not sure they are uuite around a lot. i'm not sure they are quite tired — around a lot. i'm not sure they are quite tired of— around a lot. i'm not sure they are quite tired of winning _ around a lot. i'm not sure they are quite tired of winning just - around a lot. i'm not sure they are quite tired of winning just yet - quite tired of winning just yet on the republican side. let's talk about one of the big issues for the election from and that is the situation in the middle east. remember this? when do you think the cease—fire will start? well, i hope by the beginning of the weekend, i mean the end of the weekend. at least, my national security advisers tells me that we are close, we are close, it's not done yet. my hope is by next monday we'll have a cease—fire. well monday came and went. and still there is no ceasefire. the third day of talks in cairo broke up with no breakthrough. the israelis boycotted the talks, absent a list they have demanded

on the number of hostages who remain alive. the palestinians accused israeli of not engaging seriously. which all in all is a pretty sorry state of affairs, given the acute humanitarian crisis in gaza. to make matters worse a political row has now blown up around benni gantz�*s visit to washington. the former defence minister, who sits in the war cabinet, is in dc against benjamin netanyahu's wishes. according to israeli reports mr netanyahu has "made it clear to minister gantz the state of israel only has one prime minister." so why is he there, katty? because the white house _ so why is he there, katty? because the white house is _ so why is he there, katty? because the white house is getting - the white house is getting increasingly frustrated in private and in public with benjamin netanyahu. they feel they have been rebuffed in their attempts to get more food aid into gaza, and their attempts to get him to rain down the settlers on the west bank. in their attempts to get him to commit to a two state solution time and time

again, benjamin netanyahu has rebuffed the white house as efforts. so they are going to try to talk to somebody else, even if that means annoying bb. ithink somebody else, even if that means annoying bb. i think there is a timing issue here. it's not unrelated, the breakdown of the talks in egypt are perhaps why we have had today, joe biden from using the word cease—fire and yesterday, le harris, the vice president talking about a cease—fire. we have reported this, christian. the white house knows they are using young voters and arab—american voters and critical states like michigan that could determine all of those things we were talking about november. —— or to the vice president. and they need to try to make sure they get their own political supporters back, that in genuine frustration. not a lot of love lost between joe that in genuine frustration. not a lot of love lost betweenjoe biden and benjamin netanyahu in the first place. they are very frustrated with the way that the israeli government the way that the israeli government the israeli prime minister is handling the situation in gaza, and

the inability to get food aid in there and control food aid convoys when they get in there. i am there and control food aid convoys when they get in there.— when they get in there. i am up auainst a when they get in there. i am up against a break, _ when they get in there. i am up against a break, i _ when they get in there. i am up against a break, i will get - against a break, i will get anthony's thoughts on the other side of the break. katty has got to go, she is busy, busy, busy. but anthony has kindly agreed to be with me. we will talk to him are on the other side of the break. thanks for being with us katty. good evening. it certainly has been a day of mixed fortunes for some. after a frosty start, we had some lovely spells of sunshine. just take a look at this beautiful weather watcher picture of lancashire just a few hours ago. but there was quite a lot of cloud around for others and the cloud thick enough for some drizzle. you can sense it's quite cold for the dog walk today in swanage and dorset, and despite the drizzle, you still needed that umbrella because it really does wet you through from time to time, doesn't it? this has been the story earlier on. you can see where the cloud has been sitting across western scotland, through east anglia and down along the south coast. now, the weather front that brought

the cloud stubbornly sitting along exposed east coasts, will continue to feed in quite a lot of cloud through the night. bit more of a breeze here and the cloud and the breeze will prevent temperatures from falling too far. but where we have got some clearer skies once again, well, we could see a touch of frost and maybe some patchy fog. favoured areas for that likely to be across east wales, the midlands and down towards dorset. a little more cloud towards the southwest and here, maybe a few scattered showers as we go through the day. but the frost will lift, there'll be some sunshine coming through — a better morning for northern ireland. we keep some cloud into eastern scotland and northeast england. the cloud will break up, but we could see a few isolated showers through lincolnshire down into the southeast. temperatures in the sun, 11—12 degrees, where we keep the cloud, only around 7—9 celsius. not much change in the weather pattern as we go through friday. we still got this southeasterly flow continuing to drag in cloud from time to time off the north sea and a bit more of a strengthening breeze here. so, sheltered western areas seeing the best of the sunshine

and potentially the warmth when that sunshine comes through. the cloud may be thick enough at times to produce the odd isolated shower. in terms of the feel of the weather, though, we're still looking at temperatures widely into the double digits. maybe if you keep that cloud lingering across the northeast coast, it'll say at around 8—9 degrees. stronger breeze — 35—40 mile gusts of wind on friday before an area of low pressure could bring some showery outbreaks of rain into the southwest for the start of the weekend, so it looks somewhat like this. after a dry spell, we could see some wetter and windy weather into the far southwest.

hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching the context on bbc news. the french president, emmanuel macron, says ukraine's european allies must not be cowards — reiterating his support to replenish ukraine's heavily depleted arsenal. we are going to pause very shortly and go to the sports centre, here's

will parry. there are two games taking place in the champions league as bayern munich and paris st germian try and secure a quarterfinal spot. with bayern munich ten points off the leaders bayer leverkusen in the bundesliga title race, it's a massive game for thomas tuchel who's leaving at the end of the seaosn. bayern went into the this last 16 second leg 1—0 down against lazio. goalless in the first half. in the other tie, psg had a 2—0 advantage against real sociedad, luis enrique's side lead 3—0 on aggregate. erling haaland insists he's happy at manchester city reigning european champions, england, have been drawn in a tough qualifying group as they look to retain their title in switzerland next year. sarina wiegman's side have been drawn against france, sweden and the republic of ireland — teams ranked third, fifth and 24th in the world. the world champions spain will face denmark, belgium and the czech republic. the top two teams in league a groups

automatically qualify, while the third and fourth—placed nations will go into the play? offs.